UN Trade and Development's Trade and Development Report 2026 projects global economic growth of 2.6%, down from 2.9% in 2025, while developing economies slow from 4.7% to 4%. Goods and services trade is still expected to expand by about 4% at constant prices after global trade reached $35 trillion in 2025. The report says AI contributes to trade dynamism but gains are highly concentrated; Asia is projected to supply 59% of global growth in 2026, while China-US trade has fallen more than 20% since 2024. Rising trade volume does not distribute opportunity evenly, so firms still need sector-specific checks on access, finance, energy and supply chains.